Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.5¢
- Implied chance
- 5.5%
- Return if right
- 1718.2%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 1818.2 shares at 5.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1818.18 back, a profit of $1718.18. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $713.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $2431.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.6¢
- Implied chance
- 97.6%
- Return if right
- 2.5%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 102.5 shares at 97.6¢ each.
NO wins: $102.46 back, a profit of $2.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 12:08 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ed Sheeran Says Dropping Macklemore From Tour Was ‘Promoter’s Decision, Not Mine,’ Explains Why He’s Not Speaking Out on Israel and PalestineVariety · 9d ago
- Pro-Palestine protest demands Australia increases pressure on IsraelAl Jazeera · 11d ago
- Israel, Palestine and the Films No One Will BuyThe Hollywood Reporter · 11d ago
- Israel will never stop me speaking up for PalestineAl Jazeera · 14d ago
- As Sweden heads to polls, Israel and Palestine policies are on the ballotAl Jazeera · 16d ago
- Israel takes its war on Palestine into the AI ageAl Jazeera · 20d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?