Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 10.0¢
- Implied chance
- 10.0%
- Return if right
- 900.0%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $176.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $1076.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
NO wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 10:29 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Qatar says ‘no alternative to diplomacy’ as Belgium and Rwanda restore tiesAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Spain allows US extradition case against pro-Palestine aid donor to proceedThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Wolters Kluwer introduces CCH brand in BelgiumYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Palestine weekly: Violent disruptions from olive groves to Al-Aqsa MosqueAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Charges dropped against Stanford students over pro-Palestine protestThe Guardian · 3d ago
- Gaza artists honour Macklemore for supporting PalestineAl Jazeera · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
- Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?