Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Alaska Senate Election Winner$19k liquidity$23k volumecloses 2.8mo
Alaska MidtermSenate midtermsUS ElectionMidtermsPoliticsElections
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Cost
0.1¢
Implied chance
0.1%
Return if right
99900.0%
Spread cost
n/a

If you put in $100

You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.

YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%0%54%49%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 05:14 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Other outcomes in Alaska Senate Election Winner

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Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? (0% chance) | PullToPar