Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
YES wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $23.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 20.0¢
- Implied chance
- 20.0%
- Return if right
- 400.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.
NO wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $426.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 08:49 AM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Mary Peltola’s Campaign in Alaska Senate Race Is Rocked by Tumult, With Angry Outbursts and SlursThe New York Times · 1d ago
- Republican senator Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola advance in Alaska Senate primaryThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- Sen. Dan Sullivan, Mary Peltola advance in Alaska Senate primaryCBS News · 1mo ago
- Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan Advance in Key Alaska Senate ContestThe New York Times · 1mo ago
- GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola advance to battleground Senate election in AlaskaNBC News · 1mo ago
- 5 Things to Know About Mary Peltola, Democratic Senate Candidate in AlaskaThe New York Times · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Other outcomes in Alaska Senate Election Winner
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
- Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?