Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 36.0¢
- Implied chance
- 36.0%
- Return if right
- 177.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.
YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 10:49 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin steadies above $65,000 as Iran-Oman deal talk eases Hormuz concerns, lifts risk assetsCoinDesk · 3m ago
- H100 becomes Europe’s No. 2 Bitcoin treasury after 2,455 BTC dealCointelegraph · 35m ago
- Bitcoin volatility is in meltdown, but downside protection still commands a premiumCoinDesk · 35m ago
- A rare CME shift: Hedge funds abandon structural shorts to bet on a bitcoin rallyCoinDesk · 2h ago
- This bitcoin miner rejected BIP-110 despite mining through a pool that supported itCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Bitcoin Red Team founder turns to Chinese AI: ‘It absolutely guts me’Cointelegraph · 6h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Other outcomes in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?