Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 17.0¢
- Implied chance
- 17.0%
- Return if right
- 488.2%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.
YES wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $506.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Bernie Sanders16.5%
- Pete Buttigieg86.5%
- Gavin Newsom78.5%
- Liz Cheney21.0%
- Jon Stewart17.0%
- Kim Kardashian14.0%
Latest: Aug 10, 05:20 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bernie Sanders demands Democrats ban super PACs from primaries, blasts AIPAC, ‘corrupt system’Fox News · 17h ago
- AOC says she hasn’t ruled out 2028 presidential run, talks about freezing her eggsNBC News · 23h ago
- Transcript: Sen. Bernie Sanders on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Aug. 9, 2026CBS News · 1d ago
- Sen. Bernie Sanders says Minnesota Senate contest is going to be a "tight race"CBS News · 1d ago
- Ecuador charges ex-minister over presidential candidate assassination caseBBC News · 1d ago
- Trump's firings of federal officials set stage for next presidential power testCBS News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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