Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 53.0¢
- Implied chance
- 53.0%
- Return if right
- 88.7%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.
YES wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $38.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $127.27.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $24.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $78.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- James Talarico - TX-Sen45.5%
- Kshama Sawant - WA-092.2%
- Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov0.9%
- Dan Osborn - NE-Sen11.3%
- Alan Grayson - FL-Sen4.9%
- Zach Wahls - IA-Sen3.6%
Latest: Aug 11, 07:13 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Meta launches new AI model as Sen. Bernie Sanders calls for more regulationCBS News · 10h ago
- Bernie Sanders calls on Silicon Valley to ‘pause AI development’ in interest of humanityThe Guardian · 14h ago
- Bernie Sanders demands Democrats ban super PACs from primaries, blasts AIPAC, ‘corrupt system’Fox News · 1d ago
- Bernie's revolution gets a test run for 2028 in Michigan and WisconsinAxios · 1d ago
- Transcript: Sen. Bernie Sanders on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Aug. 9, 2026CBS News · 2d ago
- Sen. Bernie Sanders says Minnesota Senate contest is going to be a "tight race"CBS News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.