Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 17.2¢
- Implied chance
- 17.2%
- Return if right
- 481.4%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 581.4 shares at 17.2¢ each.
YES wins: $581.40 back, a profit of $481.40. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $380.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $861.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.4¢
- Implied chance
- 96.4%
- Return if right
- 3.7%
- Spread cost
- 68%
If you put in $100
You get 103.7 shares at 96.4¢ each.
NO wins: $103.73 back, a profit of $3.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:42 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bernie Sanders and Greg Casar propose AI ‘superintelligence’ ban with a 20-year jail penaltyNBC News · 22h ago
- Bernie Sanders proposes banning ‘superintelligence’ and putting violators in prisonThe Verge · 1d ago
- Bernie Sanders, Steve Bannon call for more AI guardrailsCBS News · 8d ago
- Sen. Bernie Sanders, Steve Bannon appear at same AI safety rallyCBS News · 9d ago
- Extended Interview: Bernie Sanders on dangers of AICBS News · 9d ago
- Steve Bannon and Bernie Sanders Condemn Tech ‘Oligarchs’ and Demand A.I. ReformsThe New York Times · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
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