Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $45.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 04:07 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bernie Sanders and Greg Casar propose AI ‘superintelligence’ ban with a 20-year jail penaltyNBC News · 1d ago
- Bernie Sanders proposes banning ‘superintelligence’ and putting violators in prisonThe Verge · 2d ago
- Texas poll: James Talarico holds a narrow advantage for Senate while Greg Abbott leads for governorNBC News · 4d ago
- Black congressional leaders endorse James Talarico in Texas Senate raceThe Washington Post · 6d ago
- James Talarico, Seeking Black Votes in Texas Senate Rate, Wins Crucial EndorsementThe New York Times · 7d ago
- Bernie Sanders, Steve Bannon call for more AI guardrailsCBS News · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.