Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 52.0¢
- Implied chance
- 52.0%
- Return if right
- 92.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.
NO wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Tom Holland as Spider-Man49.5%
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine92.5%
- Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man90.5%
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool88.5%
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange81.0%
- Benedict Wong as Wong69.5%
Latest: Aug 16, 03:40 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Tom Holland and Zendaya’s Rumored Wedding Venue Has a Starry History — and Is Close to a Key ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Filming LocationVariety · 9d ago
- Naomi Watts’ Secret ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Role Reunited Her With Tom Holland, 12 Years After ‘The Impossible’: ‘From Playing Your Mom to Your AI’Variety · 11d ago
- Spider-Man’s Next Move? Sony’s Tom Rothman on Tom Holland’s Future, ‘Jumanji’ and BeatlesThe Hollywood Reporter · 12d ago
- Kevin Feige on ‘Brand New Day’ Breaking Records, Sadie Sink’s Reveal and Tom Holland Getting a ‘Restful Victory Lap’ Before a Potential ‘Spider-Man 5’Variety · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Tom Holland as Spider-Man?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
- Jonathan Majors as Kang?
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
- Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
- Benedict Wong as Wong?
- Halle Berry as Storm?
- Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
- Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
- Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
- Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
- Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
- Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
- Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
- Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
- Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
- Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
- Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
- Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?