Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
YES wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $10.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
NO wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $143.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $952.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man90.5%
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine92.5%
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool88.5%
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange81.0%
- Benedict Wong as Wong69.5%
- Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop70.0%
Latest: Aug 16, 03:40 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Still Soaring to Top Its Third Weekend With $67MThe Hollywood Reporter · 12h ago
- Box Office: ‘The End of Oak Street’ Chomps on $8.1 Million, But ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Is Still No. 1 With $19 MillionVariety · 12h ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ Trailer Drops Online, Christopher Miller Slams LeakThe Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse’ Trailer Leaks Online, Prompting Co-Writer Chris Miller to Speak Out: ‘Not a Fan of Leaks of Unfinished Footage’Variety · 2d ago
- Tramell Tillman Says ‘I Had to Sign NDAs’ Before Even Meeting for ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Role: ‘A Little Frustrating Because Everything Was Shrouded in Secrecy’Variety · 2d ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Becomes Fastest Movie to Hit $700M at Domestic Box OfficeThe Hollywood Reporter · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
- Jonathan Majors as Kang?
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
- Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
- Benedict Wong as Wong?
- Halle Berry as Storm?
- Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
- Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
- Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
- Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
- Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
- Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
- Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
- Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
- Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
- Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
- Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
- Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?