Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Alcaraz
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 97%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
YES wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $63.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 80%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
NO wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $123.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner29.0%
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.568.5%
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.537.5%
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.556.5%
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-6.544.5%
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-2.540.5%
Latest: Aug 28, 08:20 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Tough US Open draw will test Alcaraz fitness - and who will Brits face?BBC Sport · 1d ago
- Williams and Alcaraz team up at US OpenBBC Sport · 2d ago
- Serena Williams, Carlos Alcaraz fall in US Open mixed doubles quarterfinalAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Alcaraz and Williams thrill in brief but bright US Open mixed doubles showingBBC Sport · 3d ago
- Serena Williams teams up with Carlos Alcaraz in US Open mixed doublesAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Serena Williams, Carlos Alcaraz will play mixed doubles at the U.S. OpenCBS News · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Alcaraz”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Safiullin” if Roman Safiullin wins set 2. It will resolve to “Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
- US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Roman Safiullin vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 3.5
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)
- Roman Safiullin vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 4.5
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 36.5
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Alcaraz
- Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Safiullin (+6.5)
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 38.5
- US Open ATP: Completed Match: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 3 Games O/U 10.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 3 Games O/U 8.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Safiullin vs. Alcaraz: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5