US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

Q: US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction markets currently price this at 17%. A YES share costs 17.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 488.2% over 9d.

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz$35k liquidity$3k volumecloses 9d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 17.0¢
Implied chance: 17.0%
Return if right: 488.2%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.

YES wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $506.06.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 84.0¢
Implied chance: 84.0%
Return if right: 19.0%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.

NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.76.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 28, 07:36 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current