Set 1 Winner: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov
BUY YES
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $207.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 69.0¢
- Implied chance
- 69.0%
- Return if right
- 44.9%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.
NO wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $48.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 1 Winner100.0%
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 22.598.5%
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Match O/U 21.598.5%
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luc…47.5%
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Game Spread +/-3.52.5%
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov Set 2 Winner45.0%
Latest: Sep 22, 10:00 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castelnuovo and Pavel Kotov in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Luca Castelnuovo” if Luca Castelnuovo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Pavel Kotov” if Pavel Kotov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other outcomes in Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov
- Set 2 Winner: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov
- Set Handicap: Pavel Kotov (-1.5) vs Luca Castelnuovo (+1.5)
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Match O/U 22.5
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Match O/U 21.5
- Set Handicap: Luca Castelnuovo (-1.5) vs Pavel Kotov (+1.5)
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
- Game Spread: Pavel Kotov (-3.5) vs Luca Castelnuovo (+3.5)
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Match O/U 23.5
- Luca Castelnuovo vs. Pavel Kotov: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
- Castelnuovo vs. Kotov: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
- Chengdu Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov