Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin

Q: Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin

Prediction markets currently price this at 34%. A YES share costs 34.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 194.1% over 4d.

Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin$104k liquidity$54k volumecloses 4d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 34.0¢
Implied chance: 34.0%
Return if right: 194.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 12:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Venus Williams bows out of US Open with straight-sets defeat to Sofia KeninAl Jazeera · 24d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Sofia Kenin in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Sofia Kenin. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Kenin' if Sofia Kenin advances against Alina Charaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores