Set 1 Winner: Nuria Brancaccio vs Maria Lourdes Carle

Q: Set 1 Winner: Nuria Brancaccio vs Maria Lourdes Carle

Prediction markets currently price this at 62%. A YES share costs 62.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 61.3% over 4d.

Tolentino: Nuria Brancaccio vs Maria Lourdes Carle$26 liquidity$0 volumecloses 4d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 62.0¢
Implied chance: 62.0%
Return if right: 61.3%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.

YES wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $72.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 46.0¢
Implied chance: 46.0%
Return if right: 117.4%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

NO wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.70 of that profit. Without it you would make $138.10.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 01:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Set 1 Winner: Nuria Brancaccio vs Maria Lourdes Carle”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuria Brancaccio and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Nuria Brancaccio” if Nuria Brancaccio wins the first set. It will resolve to “Maria Lourdes Carle” if Maria Lourdes Carle wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores