Brancaccio vs. Carle: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Q: Brancaccio vs. Carle: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Prediction markets currently price this at 71%. A YES share costs 71.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 40.8% over 4d.

Tolentino: Nuria Brancaccio vs Maria Lourdes Carle$15 liquidity$0 volumecloses 4d

TennisSportsGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 71.0¢
Implied chance: 71.0%
Return if right: 40.8%
Spread cost: 77%

If you put in $100

You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.

YES wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $133.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $173.97.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.0¢
Implied chance: 98.0%
Return if right: 2.0%
Spread cost: 96%

If you put in $100

You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.

NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $55.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $57.48.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 22, 01:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

’Dungeon Crawler Carl’ Sets Limited Edition, Free CGC Comic Book Drop for New York Comic Con (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 6d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Brancaccio vs. Carle: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuria Brancaccio and Maria Lourdes Carle in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WTA Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores