Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $512.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $3746.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.8¢
- Implied chance
- 97.8%
- Return if right
- 2.2%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 102.2 shares at 97.8¢ each.
NO wins: $102.25 back, a profit of $2.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 9, 10:09 AM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Why ‘You Can See Everything Everything’ Could Make Oscars History as First Doc Nominated for Best PictureVariety · 19h ago
- Nathan Fielder’s Elizabeth Holmes Doc ‘You Can See Everything’ Sets November U.K. Release DateVariety · 1d ago
- Elizabeth Holmes and Husband Billy Haven’t Seen ‘You Can See Everything,’ Nathan Fielder Says Communication With Couple “Broke Down”The Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- Phil Collins says Trump 'sees everything as a deal': 'Very scary time'The Hill · 3d ago
- ‘Free Elizabeth Holmes’ Group Defends Convicted Theranos Founder at ‘You Can See Everything’ Doc Screening: She’s ‘Innocent and Needs to Be Free’Variety · 4d ago
- ‘Spotlight’ Director Says The Catholic Church Hasn’t Done ‘Enough’ To Protect Children From Sexual Assault 10 Years After Film’s Best Picture Win: ‘Not Until Every Child Is Safe’Variety · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Aca…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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