Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.6¢
- Implied chance
- 99.6%
- Return if right
- 0.4%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 100.4 shares at 99.6¢ each.
YES wins: $100.40 back, a profit of $0.40. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.5¢
- Implied chance
- 0.5%
- Return if right
- 19900.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 20000.0 shares at 0.5¢ each.
NO wins: $20000.00 back, a profit of $19900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $22122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 12:00 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump welcomes Chinese President Xi Jinping for state visit as tensions build over AI, IranCBS News · 11h ago
- Donald Trump welcomes China's Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 12h ago
- Donald Trump welcomes Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 12h ago
- Trump gives Xi Jinping rare airport welcome as summit visit beginsThe Washington Post · 12h ago
- Trump greets Xi Jinping on arrival in rare move as US-China trade truce extendedThe Guardian · 12h ago
- White House rolling out red carpet for historic Xi Jinping visitBBC News · 20h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.