Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
NO wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Restaurant named after Xi Jinping attacked by Chinese nationals in South KoreaBBC News · 8d ago
- No real movement on AI and Taiwan after Trump's meeting with China's Xi JinpingCBS News · 9d ago
- Trump asked Xi Jinping if China would like to buy US weapons, American ambassador saysThe Guardian · 10d ago
- Trump gave Xi Jinping a warm welcome. What did the talks accomplish?NPR · 11d ago
- Trump hails ‘very productive’ talks with China’s Xi JinpingAl Jazeera · 12d ago
- Trump Hosts China's Xi Jinping at White House State DinnerNBC News · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.