Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.1¢
- Implied chance
- 1.1%
- Return if right
- 8990.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 9090.9 shares at 1.1¢ each.
YES wins: $9090.91 back, a profit of $8990.91. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $432.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $9423.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 09:58 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- The Stock Market Is Cultivating Gamblers and Not Investors, According to Warren Buffett. What That Means for Anyone Considering Buying Into Flashy IPOs.Yahoo Finance · 7h ago
- Warren Buffett Personally Initiated Berkshire's $30 Billion Alphabet Stake, a Sign He's Still Making Calls Despite Stepping Back as ChairmanYahoo Finance · 9h ago
- Warren Buffett's Successor, Greg Abel, Just Bought $4.5 Billion of the Oracle of Omaha's Favorite Stock (No, Not Alphabet!)Yahoo Finance · 14h ago
- Warren Buffett Donated $6 Billion of Berkshire Stock to Family Foundations and Cut Off the Gates Foundation for the First Time in 20 Years. Does This Change the Investment Case for Berkshire?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Warren Buffett Recently Called the Stock Market "A Church With a Casino Attached." Is He Right?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- This Is the 1 ETF Warren Buffett Recommends Most People Buy -- and History Says He's Always Been RightYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Other outcomes in Richest person on December 31, 2026?
- Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?
- Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
- Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
- Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
- Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
- Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?
- Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?
- Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?