Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 66-70%?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 31.0¢
- Implied chance
- 31.0%
- Return if right
- 222.6%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 322.6 shares at 31.0¢ each.
YES wins: $322.58 back, a profit of $222.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 72.0¢
- Implied chance
- 72.0%
- Return if right
- 38.9%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.
NO wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 1, 07:21 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Quebec governing party: Trump is 'real adversary'The Hill · 4d ago
- Quebec separatist says no independence referendum while Trump in officeAl Jazeera · 14d ago
- Hydro-Quebec Inks $36 Billion Energy Deal With NewfoundlandBloomberg · 15d ago
- Cowboys Fringants Bassist Is Named Quebec’s Chief ScientistThe New York Times · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 66…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Source: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca
Other outcomes in Quebec General Election: Turnout
- Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 74% or more?
- Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 62-66%?
- Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be less than 58%?
- Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 58-62%?
- Will voter turnout in the 2026 Quebec general election be 70-74%?