Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.7¢
- Implied chance
- 2.7%
- Return if right
- 3603.7%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 3703.7 shares at 2.7¢ each.
YES wins: $3703.70 back, a profit of $3603.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3192.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $6796.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 86%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Đuro Macut1.5%
- Aleksandar Vučić61.0%
- Branimir Jovanović6.6%
- Ana Brnabić3.3%
- Miloš Vučević7.6%
- Stefan Krkobabić6.0%
Latest: Aug 10, 11:32 AM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Serbia and Ukraine pledge closer economic ties, eye free trade dealAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Serbia’s Vucic attempts diplomatic ‘balancing act’ with Zelensky’s visitFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Ukraine: Russia pounds Kyiv as Zelenskyy visits SerbiaDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Russian strikes kill four near Kyiv, Zelensky makes landmark visit to SerbiaFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Ukraine's Zelenskyy makes first visit to Russia-friendly SerbiaDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- Giving birth in Serbia: 'You leave your dignity at the door'Deutsche Welle · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Other outcomes in Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?