Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 21, 12:00 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Macron says 'CIA did not inform French services' of possible Russian drone attacksFrance 24 · 4h ago
- Robots make combat airdrops, clear mines as Ukraine defeats Russian pincerArs Technica · 6h ago
- US allies need to shoot down Russian aircraft testing NATO boundaries, Czech president warnsFox News · 8h ago
- EU sanctions Russian pundit Xenia Fedorova after expulsion from FranceFrance 24 · 10h ago
- 'Particularly heavy night' of Russian strikes on KyivFrance 24 · 12h ago
- Poland says fire at Starlink station is sabotage as Denmark warns of rising Russian threatBBC News · 13h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russ…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
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