Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.3¢
- Implied chance
- 8.3%
- Return if right
- 1104.8%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 1204.8 shares at 8.3¢ each.
YES wins: $1204.82 back, a profit of $1104.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $137.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $1242.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.4¢
- Implied chance
- 93.4%
- Return if right
- 7.1%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 107.1 shares at 93.4¢ each.
NO wins: $107.07 back, a profit of $7.07. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bybit Sues North Korea Over $1.5B Hack, Wins Order Freezing AssetsDecrypt · 12h ago
- North Korea’s Kimsuky integrates AI into cyberattacks targeting crypto and financeThe Block · 13h ago
- North Korea’s hackers using AI for attacks, cybersecurity firm saysAl Jazeera · 13h ago
- North Korea may deploy up to 50,000 troops to Russia, Zelensky claimsFrance 24 · 1d ago
- US court backs Bybit’s bid to trace funds from $1.5B North Korea hackCointelegraph · 3d ago
- North Korea expert warns US can 'never take their eye off' Kim Jong Un following missile test during Iran warFox News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.