Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

Q: Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 63%. A YES share costs 63.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 58.7% over 4.7mo.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?$5k liquidity$7k volumecloses 4.7mo

PoliticsTrumpWorldGeopolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

YES wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

NO wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 10, 08:57 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.