Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 22.0¢
- Implied chance
- 22.0%
- Return if right
- 354.5%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.
YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Kim Jong Un21.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez100.0%
- Vladimir Putin72.5%
- Changpeng Zhao7.5%
- MrBeast6.5%
- Pope Leo XIV3.7%
Latest: Sep 24, 08:51 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump should meet Kim Jong Un and make a deal to end the Korean WarThe Hill · 8d ago
- Why North Korea's Kim Jong Un doesn't need a US dealDeutsche Welle · 13d ago
- World’s nuclear watchdog endorses Trump’s push for Kim Jong Un meetingThe Washington Post · 28d ago
- Trump plays nuclear poker with Kim Jong Un — but who holds the cards?Fox News · 1mo ago
- Trump seeks to rekindle bromance with Kim Jong UnThe Hill · 1mo ago
- North Korea launches missiles as Trump seeks Kim Jong Un meeting this yearCBS News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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