Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.4¢
- Implied chance
- 4.4%
- Return if right
- 2172.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 2272.7 shares at 4.4¢ each.
YES wins: $2272.73 back, a profit of $2172.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $227.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $2400.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.4¢
- Implied chance
- 96.4%
- Return if right
- 3.7%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 103.7 shares at 96.4¢ each.
NO wins: $103.73 back, a profit of $3.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump administration has revoked over 175,000 visas: US State DepartmentAl Jazeera · 15h ago
- US State Department has yanked more than 175k visas under Trump administration so farFox News · 20h ago
- Thames Water’s £1m payout to finance chief is ‘unacceptable’, says government departmentThe Guardian · 1d ago
- India: Ex-Education Minister Pradhan says Gen Z 'misled'Deutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Horace Mann Educators Q2 Earnings Call HighlightsYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- US accused of meddling in British politics with $500,000 grant for ‘public education’ coursesThe Guardian · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.