Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3571.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $28471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.35.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:11 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Turkey Resumes Black Sea Ship Transits Via Straits After DelaysBloomberg · 1d ago
- Turkey says Iran not target of pact with Saudi Arabia, PakistanThe Hill · 2d ago
- Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey sign defense pact as Iran repeats that Hormuz deal is closeCBS News · 2d ago
- Dune Oil provides update on rebrand, Turkey exploration plans - ICYMIYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Saudi, Turkey, Pakistan pact comes amid US-Iran war falloutFrance 24 · 2d ago
- How Turkey uses drones to tackle firesFrance 24 · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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