Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
YES wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2380.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $16566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.5¢
- Implied chance
- 99.5%
- Return if right
- 0.5%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 100.5 shares at 99.5¢ each.
NO wins: $100.50 back, a profit of $0.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 08:03 AM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- In Switzerland, People Are Long on Franc, Gold, BTC Because of US $40T DebtYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Switzerland Criticizes Russia’s Nestle Grab, Seeks ReversalBloomberg · 6d ago
- Marvell Calls Itself the ‘Switzerland’ of AI, and Says It Works With EverybodyYahoo Finance · 14d ago
- Esther Rantzen now ‘too physically fragile’ to end her life in SwitzerlandThe Guardian · 14d ago
- Switzerland: Five killed in tourist bus crashDeutsche Welle · 14d ago
- Several killed in coach crash in eastern SwitzerlandDeutsche Welle · 14d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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