Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5384.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $15284.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 54%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Toy Story 50.4%
- Avengers: Doomsday22.5%
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day78.5%
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0.1%
- Dune: Messiah0.1%
Latest: Aug 10, 06:29 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Theme Parks and ‘Toy Story 5’ Boost Disney ResultsYahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Walt Disney’s stock climbs as company cites ‘Toy Story 5’ for earnings growthMarketWatch · 5d ago
- ‘Toy Story 5’ and Theme Parks Power Disney in Latest Quarter, as Company Teases Big Changes AheadThe Hollywood Reporter · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.