Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 58.0¢
- Implied chance
- 58.0%
- Return if right
- 72.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.
YES wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 43.0¢
- Implied chance
- 43.0%
- Return if right
- 132.6%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.
NO wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 07:53 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- David Harbour on Starring Alongside ‘Creative Powerhouse’ Robert Downey Jr. in ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ and Reuniting With Millie Bobby Brown for New Netflix ShowVariety · 11d ago
- ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ Has Already Made $50 Million in Pre-Sales, Three Months Before ReleaseVariety · 16d ago
- Andrew Garfield Hasn’t Seen ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Yet and Insists He’s Not in ‘Avengers: Doomsday’Variety · 23d ago
- ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ Shot Without a Finished Script, but Co-Director Joe Russo Says ‘We Always View’ the Screenplay as a ‘Living Organism’Variety · 23d ago
- Marvel Launches ‘Countdown to Avengers: Doomsday Official Podcast’ Ahead of Movie’s December DebutVariety · 29d ago
- Re-Watching ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Is “Required” to Understand ‘Avengers: Doomsday,’ Joe Russo SaysThe Hollywood Reporter · 29d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.