Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.27.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 1.5¢
- Implied chance
- 1.5%
- Return if right
- 6566.7%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 6666.7 shares at 1.5¢ each.
NO wins: $6666.67 back, a profit of $6566.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $7900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 11:47 AM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
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