Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:48 AM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- US Senator McConnell says he’s been discharged from rehabilitation centreAl Jazeera · 4d ago
- Bitdeer Secures $4.7 Billion A.I. Data Centre LeaseYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Trains stop across north-west England after power cut hits signalling centreThe Guardian · 4d ago
- Papa John’s rules out near-term sale as turnaround takes centre stageYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Walk-in mental health centres to open in banks and libraries across EnglandBBC Politics · 4d ago
- AI data-centre race builds $1 trillion lease burden for Big TechYahoo Finance · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swe…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Other outcomes in Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?