Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.3¢
- Implied chance
- 0.3%
- Return if right
- 33233.3%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.
YES wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $49900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.20.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 09:02 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Jeremy Strong Treated His ‘Social Reckoning’ Co-Stars “the Way He Imagines” Mark Zuckerberg Treats People, Aaron Sorkin SaysThe Hollywood Reporter · 4d ago
- Aaron Sorkin Says Jeremy Strong Treated His Co-Stars ‘The Way He Imagines’ Mark Zuckerberg Treats People While Shooting ‘The Social Reckoning’Variety · 4d ago
- Vatican to Submit a Film for Oscar Consideration, Making Academy Awards History (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 8d ago
- Jeremy Strong Says He Reached Out to Mark Zuckerberg After Being Cast as Him in ‘The Social Reckoning’ — and He RespondedThe Hollywood Reporter · 1mo ago
- Jeremy Strong Wrote to Mark Zuckerberg After Being Cast in ‘Social Reckoning’ Even Though ‘He’s a Reviled Person’; Actor Spent 7 Months Talking in Polish Accent for Next RoleVariety · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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