Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $177.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $56.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Top Republican unloads on rise of 'anti-American' candidates heading into midterms: 'You got to be kidding'Fox News · 12h ago
- Former streaker-turned-influencer Kinsey Wolanski takes the mound, Front Row Amy throws heat & Michigan lostFox News · 14h ago
- Poll: Latino voters swing away from Trump and RepublicansNBC News · 15h ago
- Trump sets off on midterm blitz – are his trademark rallies a liability for Republicans?The Guardian · 17h ago
- Republicans say they hate communists. So why do they like Donald Trump?The Guardian · 17h ago
- Democrats Lead Governor Races Deep in Republican Territory, Polls ShowThe New York Times · 19h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Republicans win Grand Traverse County in the Michig…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.