Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026$3k liquidity$4k volumecloses 4.7mo
NIKIndiciesFinanceJapanNikkei
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
16.0¢
Implied chance
16.0%
Return if right
525.0%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 625.0 shares at 16.0¢ each.

YES wins: $625.00 back, a profit of $525.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $545.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
85.0¢
Implied chance
85.0%
Return if right
17.6%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 117.6 shares at 85.0¢ each.

NO wins: $117.65 back, a profit of $17.65. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.70 of that profit. Without it you would make $18.34.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 02:29 PM2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the fina”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”

Other outcomes in Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

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