Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 53.0¢
- Implied chance
- 53.0%
- Return if right
- 88.7%
- Spread cost
- 37%
If you put in $100
You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.
YES wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $52.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $140.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 70.0¢
- Implied chance
- 70.0%
- Return if right
- 42.9%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.
NO wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $28.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:27 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Japan’s Nikkei Rises on AI Catch-Up Rally; Yield Fears Hit TopixBloomberg · 22h ago
- Yen Pares BOJ-Fueled Declines as Nikkei Reports a Rate CheckBloomberg · 6d ago
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- Japan to work on blockchain-based stock settlement system, details expected early 2027: NikkeiThe Block · 1mo ago
- Japan eyes blockchain for instant stock, government bond settlement, Nikkei reportsYahoo Finance · 1mo ago
- Nikkei Falls to Two-Week Low on Risk-Off SentimentYahoo Finance · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the fina…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
Other outcomes in Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 65,000 and 70,000?
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000?
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000?
- Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 80,000 and 85,000?