Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 95.3¢
- Implied chance
- 95.3%
- Return if right
- 4.9%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 104.9 shares at 95.3¢ each.
YES wins: $104.93 back, a profit of $4.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 5.8¢
- Implied chance
- 5.8%
- Return if right
- 1624.1%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 1724.1 shares at 5.8¢ each.
NO wins: $1724.14 back, a profit of $1624.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $180.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $1804.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:40 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Romania Extends Reactor Output by Nine Days After Danube BlastsBloomberg · 2d ago
- Romania, Hungary, France... Europe's nuclear power plants tested by heatwaveFrance 24 · 6d ago
- Dry Danube River threatens nuclear power in Romania, HungaryDeutsche Welle · 7d ago
- Romania blasts rock to divert water from drought-hit Danube to nuclear reactorThe Guardian · 7d ago
- South-eastern Europe faces heatwave energy crunch as Romania detonates Danube rock to increase water flow – as it happenedThe Guardian · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by Dece…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.