Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 77.3¢
- Implied chance
- 77.3%
- Return if right
- 29.4%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 129.4 shares at 77.3¢ each.
YES wins: $129.37 back, a profit of $29.37. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 23.7¢
- Implied chance
- 23.7%
- Return if right
- 321.9%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 421.9 shares at 23.7¢ each.
NO wins: $421.94 back, a profit of $321.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.09 of that profit. Without it you would make $331.03.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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- Russia's drone war comes to Moldova and RomaniaDeutsche Welle · 13d ago
- Deloitte Romania expands management team with three new directorsYahoo Finance · 16d ago
- PIB Group expands in Romania with CND Broker acquisitionYahoo Finance · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by Dece…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.