Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?

Q: Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 6%. A YES share costs 6.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1566.7% over 4.7mo.

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?$1k liquidity$8k volumecloses 4.7mo

Hit PriceIndiciesreal estateFinanceDubaiHit Yearly

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 6.0¢
Implied chance: 6.0%
Return if right: 1566.7%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.

YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $220.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $1786.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.4¢
Implied chance: 95.4%
Return if right: 4.8%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 104.8 shares at 95.4¢ each.

NO wins: $104.82 back, a profit of $4.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 11, 07:10 AM1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.