Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?

Q: Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 5%. A YES share costs 5.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1900.0% over 3.2mo.

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?$13k liquidity$13k volumecloses 3.2mo

Hit PriceIndiciesreal estateFinanceDubaiHit Yearly

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 5.0¢
Implied chance: 5.0%
Return if right: 1900.0%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.

YES wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 12%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 25, 02:13 AM1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.