Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?

Q: Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 4%. A YES share costs 4.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2400.0% over 4.7mo.

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?$9k liquidity$11k volumecloses 4.7mo

Hit PriceIndiciesreal estateFinanceDubaiHit Yearly

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 4.0¢
Implied chance: 4.0%
Return if right: 2400.0%
Spread cost: 19%

If you put in $100

You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.

YES wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $576.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $2976.92.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.5¢
Implied chance: 97.5%
Return if right: 2.6%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 102.6 shares at 97.5¢ each.

NO wins: $102.56 back, a profit of $2.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.36.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 01:35 AM1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.