Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.7¢
- Implied chance
- 2.7%
- Return if right
- 3603.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 3703.7 shares at 2.7¢ each.
YES wins: $3703.70 back, a profit of $3603.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $217.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $3821.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.6¢
- Implied chance
- 97.6%
- Return if right
- 2.5%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 102.5 shares at 97.6¢ each.
NO wins: $102.46 back, a profit of $2.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1.7%
- United Russia (ER)66.5%
- New People (NL)25.7%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5.2%
Latest: Aug 10, 04:29 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Russian Athletics files new claim against sanctionsBBC Sport · 4h ago
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- Ukrainian drone attack on the Russian city of Nizhnekamsk kills 12, authorities sayABC News · 4h ago
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- Ukraine: Russian bombs injure five civilians in Sumy, authorities sayFrance 24 · 8h ago
- Ukrainian drone attack on the Russian city of Nizhnekamsk kills 12, authorities sayNPR · 9h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) ga…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
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