Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.7¢
- Implied chance
- 1.7%
- Return if right
- 5782.4%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 5882.4 shares at 1.7¢ each.
YES wins: $5882.35 back, a profit of $5782.35. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $178.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $5960.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.4¢
- Implied chance
- 98.4%
- Return if right
- 1.6%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 101.6 shares at 98.4¢ each.
NO wins: $101.63 back, a profit of $1.63. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.68.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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- Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russia kill at least 13, authorities sayCBS News · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the Sept…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.