Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.4¢
- Implied chance
- 5.4%
- Return if right
- 1751.9%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 1851.9 shares at 5.4¢ each.
YES wins: $1851.85 back, a profit of $1751.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $850.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $2602.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.84.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- AOC says she hasn’t ruled out 2028 presidential run, talks about freezing her eggsNBC News · 1d ago
- Ecuador charges ex-minister over presidential candidate assassination caseBBC News · 1d ago
- Trump's firings of federal officials set stage for next presidential power testCBS News · 3d ago
- Russia ramps up disinformation war as French presidential elections draw nearerFrance 24 · 4d ago
- Colombia minister warns of ‘terrorism’ threat at presidential inaugurationAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- Presidential prospect Glenn Youngkin launches group focused on education policyNBC News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.