Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.4¢
- Implied chance
- 5.4%
- Return if right
- 1751.9%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 1851.9 shares at 5.4¢ each.
YES wins: $1851.85 back, a profit of $1751.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1481.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $3233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.4¢
- Implied chance
- 99.4%
- Return if right
- 0.6%
- Spread cost
- 80%
If you put in $100
You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.
NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Rahm Emanuel touts what separates himself from other Dems as he mulls 2028 presidential bidFox News · 4h ago
- Beshear-Moore ticket? Democratic presidential hopefuls are pairing upThe Hill · 1d ago
- A Corruption Scandal Is Reshaping Brazil’s Presidential ElectionThe New York Times · 1d ago
- Trump to greet Xi at Joint Base Andrews, a presidential move not seen since 1962CBS News · 2d ago
- AOC says she'll decide on presidential run after midtermsCBS News · 3d ago
- The Memo: Ocasio-Cortez fuels speculation about her presidential plans in new interviewThe Hill · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.