Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
YES wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.1¢
- Implied chance
- 4.1%
- Return if right
- 2339.0%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 2439.0 shares at 4.1¢ each.
NO wins: $2439.02 back, a profit of $2339.02. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $30.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $2369.14.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- How the economy is hurting Republicans’ midterm chancesThe Washington Post · 4h ago
- Republican, Democratic strategists on controversial campaign funding ahead of midtermsCBS News · 8h ago
- Johnson turns Democrats’ socialist civil war into new weapon for midtermsFox News · 9h ago
- Decades of abuse revealed at Michigan art school. And, the Iran war's impact on midtermsNPR · 11h ago
- The Campaign Tactics Helping Progressives Win Primaries Ahead of the 2026 MidtermsThe New York Times · 14h ago
- Trump names Will Scharf as White House counsel ahead of midtermsAl Jazeera · 19h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.