Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.1¢
- Implied chance
- 98.1%
- Return if right
- 1.9%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.
YES wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
NO wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $128.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $5028.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Texas voter-registration backlog could affect midtermsThe Washington Post · 3h ago
- Female athletes, women's sports advocates speak on Capitol Hill as trans athlete issue hovers over midtermsFox News · 3h ago
- The Pollwatcher: The big, unseen factor in how voters decide midterm electionsThe Washington Post · 3h ago
- Republicans Accelerate Their Break With Trump Ahead of MidtermsThe New York Times · 9h ago
- Republicans face brutal midterm headwinds. Six forces could help them defy history.Fox News · 9h ago
- Skyrocketing diesel prices rattle Republicans as midterms approachABC News · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.