Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.8¢
- Implied chance
- 3.8%
- Return if right
- 2531.6%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 2631.6 shares at 3.8¢ each.
YES wins: $2631.58 back, a profit of $2531.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1142.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $3673.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.5¢
- Implied chance
- 98.5%
- Return if right
- 1.5%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 101.5 shares at 98.5¢ each.
NO wins: $101.52 back, a profit of $1.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 09:02 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ted Cruz blasts Joel Webbon for saying MAGA should 'embrace socialism'The Hill · 1d ago
- John Oliver Mocks Ted Cruz With Dr. Seuss-Style Rhyme After Senator Was Booed During ESPN InterviewThe Hollywood Reporter · 4d ago
- Kirk Herbstreit defends having Ted Cruz on 'College GameDay'The Hill · 6d ago
- Former ESPN host hypocritically calls network a 'political lobbying firm' after Ted Cruz appearanceFox News · 12d ago
- Ted Cruz got booed so loudly during 'College GameDay' interview you couldn't hear a thing he saidFox News · 12d ago
- Ted Cruz on his 2028 lane, JD Vance and the GOP’s futurePolitico · 14d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nomin…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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